2020.12.6 新赛季已知剧情解读分析与推测
以下推测为主观推断，不保证一定准确。
目前为止，已经公布的剧情共有2部分内容。第一部分就是国服亚服在社交平台上发布的，讲述的是2人去酒馆喝酒的故事。第二部分，讲述的是2人进入酒馆，在酒馆中的谈话。2部分结合起来就是一个比较完整的剧情了。
第一部分
寒潮袭来，灾厄纪年
引言
战争的开始与结束，
最光辉的瞬间，最黑暗的时刻。
勇气，忍耐，希望，
怯懦，暴戾，死亡。
酒馆
佩牙利斯—克莱门斯
施罗德走出佣兵会大厅，迎面吹来的小雪花落在了他的身上。这种熟悉的寒冷，让施罗德有些愕然，他不自觉地想到了以前德茂的冬天。
“发什么呆呢？”这时哈特走了出来，室外的寒冷让哈特下意识的揉搓了下双手。
“没什么？”施罗德望着北边淡淡地道。
“有没有兴趣喝一杯？”哈特倒也不在意他的异样。
施罗德回过头看向哈特：“你请客？”
“不是应该你请吗？”哈特打趣道。
施罗德什么也没有说，朝着城门的方向便要离开。
哈特愣了一下，“行，行，行，这次就当我预祝你此次任务顺利！我们先说好。等你回来了领了赏，可就得换你请我了！”哈特玩笑道。
施罗德也没有搭话，又走到哈特身边，拍了拍哈特的肩膀便朝着酒馆走去……
推开酒馆的门，虽然才是中午，但昏暗的酒馆里却早已喧闹非凡，嘈杂的说话声伴着轻快的音乐扑进施罗德的耳里，人们都三五成群的坐着，聊得火热，施罗德哈特二人穿过人群径直走到吧台前。
“两杯麦芽酒！”由于实在是过于热闹，哈特提着嗓子喊了两遍，酒保这才听清了哈特说的是什么。
二人拿着酒，随意找了一个较为僻静的角落便坐了下来。
在他们的后面也坐了四、五个人，他们围坐在一起，只见其中一人面色神秘，嘴里小声嘀咕着什么，其他几个人脸上的神情也是凝重与讶异相互交织，时不时还传出小声惊呼。
二人刚刚落座，便听到旁边一桌有人突然乍起惊呼道：“那绝对是缄默者！不不，应该叫他们灾厄骑士！”
哈特施罗德二人寻声看去，他也意识到自己刚才的惊呼过于失态了，捂住自己的嘴连忙坐了回去，安静的听那佣兵模样的人继续讲着……
故事发生的地点是克莱门斯，剧情中提到了施罗德要去北方执行任务，显然北方有事情发生了。而且后面酒馆中的人们谈话中也涉及到了：寒冷席卷大陆北境，酒吧里来自北方的幸存佣兵惊恐地向同伴描述在暴雪之中出现的神秘敌人——灾厄骑士
而在英文版本中，缄默者用的是Silent ones 灾厄骑士是Scourge，有兴趣的读者可以根据资料了解一下。
[New Season] With the freezing winds come the Scourge.
这个可以看出，灾厄骑士伴随着寒流到来，应该是侵略的剧情
第二部分
这2部分剧情细节上其实是存在一定的冲突的，显然编造的时候没有仔细考虑
The longest winter in living memory holds the land in its icy grip.
这句话说明，迎来了一场史无前例的大寒流，整个大地都冰封了。
TALES FROM THE NORTH: WINTER FALLS
Schroeder and Hart entered the tavern, shaking the snow from their cloaks. They were immediately greeted with a rush of warmth, the somewhat comforting smell of spilt ale, and raucous laughter. A merry ballad filled the room. The townsfolk sought solace from the cold, sharing tales and jokes to warm their spirits. Hart took the lead, passed through the crowd and headed straight for the bar.
"Two ales," said Hart as he slid two silver pieces across the bartop. The bartender filled their flagons, and the two men settled in a quiet corner, away from the hustle and bustle. Schroeder gulped his ale and shivered, winter’s chill still clinging to his weathered face.
“What news from your brother?” Hart asked, studying him with quiet concern.
“Nothing from Ostaria since the harvest,” sighed Schroeder. “In all my years, I’ve never seen a winter like this. They’re not ready for it. If it goes on much longer, they’re going to starve.”
A shadow passed over Hart’s face. “That may not be the least of their concerns,” he whispered. “There’s been talk of something moving through the North. Shadows among the trees, a dark legion moving under cover of the freezing darkness. An army.”
“An army? In winter?” Schroeder exclaimed incredulously while finding no trace of amusement in his friend’s face.
“Keep your voice down,” Hart hissed. “It’s probably nothing to worry about. I know it sounds strange, but I think I remember a story just like this.” He paused for thought and looked to his friend. Schroeder’s disbelief had begun to turn to a palpable dread, for he knew of what Hart spoke. “When I was just a child.”
Schroeder and Hart noticed a group of strangers watching them from across the bar. In silent agreement, they supped their ales and made their way back into the bitter cold of Turul Város.
这部分剧情，其中提到了施罗德的家乡徳茂遭受到了北方势力的入侵。哈特说到，北方的冰雪中有一个势力，一只大军在行进。哈特说他在孩童的时候接触过这种事情，也暗示这至少是第二次的入侵了。（下赛季除了俄罗斯，游牧民族的入侵也不是没有可能。）
An ominous chill fills the air.
As Winter approaches, something colder marches with it...
冬季寒流到来，但是随着寒流，更恐怖的东西也来了（指的应该就是入侵的军队）
An unprecedented cold has gripped the lands of Ostaria and Ungverija. Two strangers enter the tavern to escape the unrelenting chill, but rumors of a shadow, veiled in Winter's frost, fill them with unease. Though they are only rumors. . .Right?
有传闻说，一个恐怖的东西潜藏在冬天的冰雪中。
●故事发生的地点就是佩牙利斯跟德茂。估计是不会开新版快了，甚至可能封锁云川漠原。而且根据地图来讲，俄罗斯对应的地块与现有的并不接壤，只有东西帐国接壤。
