【龙腾网】日本的坏消息：人口连续第九年下降
正文翻译
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日本人口变化1989-2019
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日本关键人口变化2000-2019（15岁以下，15岁-64岁，65岁以上）
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评论翻译
评论1: Daniel808:Every year Japanese citizen decreasing 487,000 people. That''s mean they lost almost 1,400 citizens per day :They are in big trouble right now
日本公民每年减少48万7000人。这意味着他们每天损失近1400名公民: 他们现在真的有大麻烦了
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CrazyZ:Indonesian and Pakistan will have larger economies then Japan in a few decades.
几十年后，印尼和巴基斯坦的经济规模将超过日本。
评论2: waz:Not good at all. They refuse to do something major about it and just give token holidays and some tax breaks. They need an overhaul of their working culture, which has skewed social dynamics. Relationships between young women and men are now rare which is insane. I hope they pull through.
情况一点也不好。他们拒绝做一些重大的决策，只是给予象征性的假期和一些税收减免。他们需要彻底改革他们扭曲了社会动态的工作文化。年轻男女之间现在很少谈恋爱，这简直很疯狂。我希望他们能渡过难关。
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Daniel808:Not only working culture, but also their social value about marriage in their young population mindset.
不仅是工作文化，还有他们的年轻人关于婚姻的社会价值的心态也要改变。
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Daniel808:20,000 usd is nothing compared with cost to raising a baby in Japan, especially their big cities.
在日本，2万美元和抚养一个孩子的成本相比根本不值一提，尤其是在大城市。
评论5: Safriz:They should stop dating mobile phone apps and things wl change
他们应该停止玩手机，那样事情就将会改变
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Daniel808:If I become their leader, I will banned all their brothels, sex business, and **** industry. With all that, I believe marriage percentage in Japan will rise.
如果我成为他们的领袖，我将禁止他们所有的妓院，性交易和色情产业。这样，我相信日本的结婚率将会上升的。
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Daniel808:With curent condition, if they goes to 50 million population. Their economy will doomed. 50 million is smaller than South Korean population, and their economy will be in 1,5-2 Trillion club GDP if that happen. In the same club with nominal GDP of Guangdong and Jiangsu Province in China (Both are over 1,5 Trillion club GDP)
在目前的情况下，如果他们只有5000万人口，他们的经济将走向灭亡。5000万人口比韩国人口还少，如果发生这种情况，他们的经济总量将只有1.5万亿到2万亿美元，与中国广东省和江苏省的名义GDP同属一个俱乐部(均超过1.5万亿俱乐部GDP)
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zhxy:It is not a serious problem. Japan''s economy once collapsed after the end of World War 2, and 30 years later they returned, becoming an economic and technological superpower. Destruction and rebirth are an irreversible cycle of all civilization.
这个问题没有那么严重。第二次世界大战结束后，日本经济一度崩溃，30年后，它们又卷土重来，成为一个经济和技术超级大国。破坏和再生是一切文明不可逆转的循环。
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Brainsucker:I think that is Japan''s real problem. 93%urbanization. Everyone go to Tokyo, Osaka, and other big cities. Left some ghost towns along the way. Like in order big economy, urbanization are always bad for raising a family. Because living in a big city like Tokyo is very expensive. So they tend to avoid baby making. While living in villages or small towns make people relax, so they tend to have more children without any problem.
我认为这才是日本真正的问题：93%的城市化，就是说几乎每个人都去东京、大阪和其他大城市，沿途只留下了一些鬼城。就像大经济体一样，城市化总是不利于养家糊口的，因为生活在东京这样的大城市非常昂贵，所以他们倾向于不生孩子。而生活在乡村或小城镇让人们放松，所以他们往往生更多的孩子也没有任何问题。
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Daniel808:The condition is different right now. In that time (after WW2), millions of their skilled young man come home from POW camps across all over asia and pacific. This will become capital for their economy rebuilding in the next decade. And in that time, also there is no competition from other countries for their companies. Today, there are China and South Korea as their competitors. The more that country developed, the more people will come to cities. You cannot halt that.In 2019 alone, Japan lost almost half million of their citizens. This is crazy rate. The trend tell everything, not good at all.
现在的情况不同了。在二战后这段时间里，有来自亚太地区战俘营的数以百万计的有技能的年轻人回国，这成为他们未来十年重建经济的资本。在这段时间里，他们的公司也没有来自其他国家的竞争。而今天，中国和韩国是他们的竞争对手。国家越发达，来城市的人就越多，你阻止不了。仅在2019年，日本就失去了近50万公民。这是个疯狂的比例。这一趋势说明了一切，情况一点都不好。
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评论8: 313ghazi:This isn''t population control, this is self destruction. The Japanese have gotten themselves to a state where they are over worked and socially isolated.
这不是人口控制，这是自我毁灭。日本人已经到了过度工作以至于和社会孤立的地步了。
评论9: Nowshera:If I was Japanese I would say goodbye to any pension.
如果我是日本人，我不会交任何养老金。
评论10: zhxy:I think the government should pay for surrogacy. With 200 000 USD for a child, all problems will be solved
我认为政府应该帮忙支付代孕的费用。一个孩子20万美元，所有的问题都会得到解决。
评论11: Shantanu_Left:They should bring in more Indians to help them with their depopulation problem.
他们应该引进更多的印度人来帮助他们解决人口减少的问题。
评论12: Pakistani Fighter:Japan needs to import Pakistani Males
日本需要从巴基斯坦引进男性
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Mugen:Why, what do Pakistani men have to offer over others that probably know more about Japan and have much more to offer?
为什么，比起其他可能更了解日本，并能提供更多的人，巴基斯坦男人能带来什么呢?
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Brass Knuckles:Pakistani men produce more babies
巴基斯坦男性可以“生育”更多孩子
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Pakistani Fighter:Japenese Men should be banned from marriage. Pakistani Males are best breeders and should be imported and married/mated with Japenese Women. Babies born would be healthy and will increase population. We don''t ''produce''. We help women of all colors help produce babies.
日本男人应该被禁止结婚，巴基斯坦男性是最好的繁殖者，应该引进日本女性并与之结婚/交配，生出的婴儿将是健康的，并且会增加人口。我们不“生育”，我们只是帮助各种肤色的女性生孩子。
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Mugen:Thankfully the Japanese care about quality rather than quantity, otherwise maybe Japan will be in the same state that Pakistan is in, rife with corruption, traitors and an economy kept afloat by loans.
值得庆幸的是，日本人关心的是质量而不是数量，否则日本可能会陷入和巴基斯坦一样的境地，充斥着腐败、叛徒和靠贷款维持的经济。
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CrazyZ:They don''t like immigrants. Especially brown ones.
他们不喜欢移民，尤其是棕色人种。
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Indos:One of my big family members has already taken one Japanese female as wife
我的一个大家庭的成员已经娶了一位日本女性为妻。
评论13: hunter_hunted:This is all because of that damn Octopus
这都是因为那只该死的章鱼
评论14:Brass Knuckles: Other countries should also take steps to control their population especially poor countries like Pakistan
其他国家也应该采取措施控制人口，尤其是像巴基斯坦这样的贫穷国家
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QWECXZ:Yes, but a population control program before you are capable of providing quality healthcare and special elderly care services will lead to disaster. And you''d better plan to control your population after you country has become developed, not before it.
是的，但是，在你有能力提供高质量的医保和特殊的老年人护理服务之前，人口控制计划将导致灾难。你最好在你的国家发展起来后再计划控制人口，而不是在它发展之前。
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Brass Knuckles:Pakistan will always remain a poor country if population is not controled.
如果人口不受控制，巴基斯坦将永远是一个贫穷的国家。
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QWECXZ:Not necessarily. If you educate your people, raise literacy rate to above 95%, offer high quality education to people in STEM fields and properly develop fields like economics and management, you will be able to increase your GDP tremendously. Look at China, for example. Having young human capital is a bliss if used and employed correctly. Not a curse.
不一定。如果你教育你的人民，将识字率提高到95%以上，为科学、技术、工程和数学教育领域的人们提供高质量的教育，并适当地发展经济和管理等领域，你将能够极大地提高你的GDP。以中国为例。如果方法得当，拥有年轻的人力资本也是一种福气，而不是一个诅咒。
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KediKesenFare:If you do all of that your population size will eventually decrease...
如果你做了所有这些，你的人口规模最终会减少的…
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QWECXZ:Not necessarily. You will more likely experience a growth rate that is close to 0, but not negative. But even if so, at least you can now provide proper care for your old people. Imagine a society where your average person is 50 years old! The country will face all sorts of problems. From security problems because there aren''t many people fit for military service to healthcare issues because too many people will be sick and have chronic disorders. Also, your human capital will decrease too. You can''t expect an 80 year old guy to work like a 20 year old guy. So, your GDP will decrease eventually while more and more people will rely on pension plans and aid from the government. So, the whole country will collapse soon. That''s why European countries like Germany continue to insist on their immigration policies even though there''s too much internal disagreement.
不一定。你将更有可能经历接近于0的增长率，但不是负的。但即使这样，至少你可以为你的老人们提供适当的照顾。想象一下，如果一个社会的平均年龄是50岁，这个国家将面临各种各样的问题。安全问题上，没有很多人适合服兵役，医疗问题上，太多的人会生病和患有慢性疾病。同时，你的人力资本也会减少。你不能指望一个80岁的人会像一个20岁的人一样工作。因此，你的GDP最终会下降，而越来越多的人将依赖养老金和来自政府的援助。所以，整个国家很快就会崩溃。这就是为什么尽管内部有太多的分歧，但是像德国这样的欧洲国家还会继续坚持他们的移民政策的原因。
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Brass Knuckles:Population is increasing continuously at very fast pace but resources are not increasing. Land and other resources would never increase standard of living will be low even if all 100 percent Pakistanis become professors.
人口持续以非常快的速度增长，但资源却没有增长。即使所有巴基斯坦人都成为教授，土地和其他资源的限制也不会提高生活水平。
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QWECXZ:And that''s why scientists are looking for new sources of energy and a lot of developed countries have started recycling. Many resources on the planet can be recycled. And our efficiency at using them will increase too. Humans cannot stop growing before we have a plan for providing the elderly with proper care or unless we become cyborgs. Nevertheless, as of 2020, we still need young people.
这就是科学家们正在寻找新的能源的原因，许多发达国家已经开始进行回收利用资源了。地球上的许多资源都可以循环利用，我们使用它们的效率也会提高。人类无法停止成长，除非我们有一个为老人提供适当照顾的计划，或者除非我们成为半机器人。然而，到2020年为止，我们仍然需要年轻人。
评论15: zhxy:Immigrants create many security, social, political, religious issues. The United States and Germany are lessons. The Japanese government is very smart, they accept the economic downturn, and do not want immigrants. They want to protect the purity and eugenics of the race.
移民会带来许多安全、社会、政治和宗教问题，美国和德国就是教训。日本政府非常聪明，他们接受经济衰退的事实，不希望移民。他们想要保护种族的纯洁性和优生性。
评论16: Valar.:The theory that you need to increase your population to reach your full potential of development and then control population is already being proven wrong by China''s 1 child policy for 4 and half decades. In which population was controlled at an earlier stage and every resource was utilized for his development. Now that China is at better position, 1 child policy is no longer needed.
中国实行了45年的计划生育政策已经证明，要想充分发挥发展潜力就必须增加人口、然后控制人口的理论是错误的。人口在早期得到控制后，所有资源都可以用于发展。现在中国的情况已经有所改善，计划生育政策就不再需要了。
评论17: OsmanAli98:Japan population has been declining since the mid 1970s I think they would prefer to remain stagnant as they already reached First world standards and still remain homogenous just plug in cheap labor from other Asian countries but remain sorta restrictive
自20世纪70年代中期以来，日本人口一直在下降，我认为他们宁愿保持停滞不前，因为他们的发展水平已经达到了第一世界的标准，而人口仍然保持同质性，只需要从其他亚洲国家引进廉价劳动力就可以了，但仍然有一定的限制。
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Daniel808:Their economic condition today is not so good.Even their foreign workers is struggling.
他们今天的经济状况不太好。甚至他们的外籍工人也在苦苦挣扎。
评论18: Mohrenn:I''m happy about that just because it means they''ll continue to deflate into not being relevant which I like
我很高兴，因为这意味着他们会继续缩小，逐渐变得不相关，这是我喜欢的。
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Daniel808:Japanese economy already stagnant since 30 years ago, even the trend is declining. For example in 2010 when China GDP surpass japan. Japan GDP is 5.7 Trillion, 9 years later (2019) Japan GDP only 5.1 Trillion. Meanwhile in 9 years also, China GDP almost tripled Japan whole GDP. That''s the heavy price japanese pay for their economic stagnant.
日本经济自30年前就已经停滞不前，甚至出现了下滑的趋势。例如，2010年中国GDP超过日本，当时日本GDP是5.7万亿，9年后(2019年)日本GDP只有5.1万亿。同时在9年里，中国的GDP几乎增长到了日本GDP的三倍。这是日本为经济停滞所付出的沉重代价。
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评论19: casual:Nothing wrong with a lower population. Japan is overpopulated as is so I don''t think it''ll be too bad.
人口少一点没什么错。日本之前的人口过多，所以我认为情况不会太糟。
评论20: Viet:JP should allow more immigration from Vietnam. We have too many people.
日本应该允许更多来自越南的移民，我们的人口太多了。
评论21: riscol:Japan would rather see the population drop than to increase the quota of immigrants. A policy that i also support.
日本宁愿看到人口下降，也不愿增加移民配额。我也支持这一政策。
